Aussie Dumps after Fed Talks of Bond Buying Program

We had a crazy week last week in the market due to some serious fundamental shifts in the market. The AUD/USD took a serious nose dive through the 1.0150 market which was a low in a range from 1.0150 to 1.0600 on the AUD/USD for the past year (see the video below). First, RBA (Royal Bank of Australia) announced a rate cut of 25BP on their overnight interested rates. THEN, the US FED starts talking about an $85 Billion “bond buying program” to stimulate the economy. Both where bad news for the AUD/USD which dropped to parity (1.000) and is most likely going to continue dropping right to the .9800 range.

In this video I go through which caution on trading the USD cross pairs over the next few days until the market determines if the FED announcement created a short-term emotion strengthening of the USD….OR…if this could be a significant game changer where the market turns into a more “risk off” environment and starts investing into USD again.

Watch the video completely as I analyze the charts and look for some great opportunities to trade.

 


Forex Trading for Dummies

In this first video of many entitled Forex Trading for Dummies we are going to dig into the basics of trading with the trend, trading off of key levels and trading from the daily charts. Enjoy the video.


Forex Market Preview May 6, 2013

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Watch the video for today’s Forex Market Preview. Several great trades in this video so be sure to watch the ENTIRE video.


Forex Market Preview April 21, 2013

Enjoy today’s Forex Market Preview where Josh discusses what he is looking at this week in several different currency pairs and where he sees potential trading opportunities.

 

Forex Trading For Beginners – Fundamental Analysis & Forex Trading Strategies #5

Having a basic knowledge of Fundamental analysis will give you a better foundation for your investment decisions on the Forex Market. It looks to measure a company’s true value, in which the Forex trader evaluate the country and its currencies just like companies. With Fundamental analysis, it shows the true value of the currency.

Read more about Forex Trading Strategy – Buy The Rumor Sell The Fact In Price Action

In order to have an idea of the currency’s value, Forex traders will take note on the economic reports issued by the country, political events, and other significant reports that could be at play in affecting the movement of the currency. The value is in a constant move due to many possible factors (such as economic growth and financial strength). With all of these factors, a Forex trader could start doing Fundamental analysis.

What is Fundamental Analysis?

A fundamental analysis is all about getting an understanding of a country, the health of its business and its future prospects. It includes reading and analyzing annual reports and financial statements to get an understanding of the country’s comparative advantages, competitors and its market environment.

Forex Trading Strategies – Carry Trade:

There are plenty of Forex Trading Strategies out there but I would like to focus more on “Carry Trade”:

A strategy in which an investor sells a certain currency with a relatively low interest rate and uses the funds to purchase a different currency yielding a higher interest rate. A trader using this strategy attempts to capture the difference between the rates, which can often be substantial, depending on the amount of leverage used.

In simple words, you borrow at a low rate and lend at a higher rate. A Forex trader could make a highly profitable trade when leverage is used because even with a small difference between two rates it could yield a higher profit. A good example is the “Yen Carry Trade” during the 1990’s. Japan decreased its interest rate to almost zero. Forex traders borrow at a very low rate large sum of Japanese yen, then converted into U.S. dollars (which are used to buy U.S. Treasury bonds which yields and coupons at around 4.5 – 5%). With this, Forex traders earn almost all the yield from the U.S. Treasury bonds. Not only that, with leverage, returns are greatly increased.

For example, if you have a U.S. $1,000 in your trading account and have a 10 times leverage, you can control a position of U.S. $10,000. If you would use the currency carry trade with the example above, you will earn 3% per year, or $300 gain annually, if and only if the currency pair’s value remains constant or appreciates. Hence, Forex carry traders look not only to earn the interest rate differential but also capital appreciation.

Read more about Forex Trading Strategy – Price Action For Dummies

In reality, the exchange rates between two countries are ever changing. There is an erratic movement of price that is why most carry traders would prefer lower-yielding safer currency since the carry trade strategy is longer term in nature, it is much susceptible to a variety of changes over time.

Bottom line is that acquiring an idea of the fundamental factors that affect the movement of price of currencies and applying Best Forex Trading Strategies are important steps to a well-informed investment decision. With your on-going reading of  our free Forex Course for Beginners, you will in no time have a good foundation of the Forex Market and be able to trade successfully. Learning Forex Trading for Beginners is a continuous effort so I hope you will not skip on your daily reading diet of Forex Strategies and Free Forex Tips! Once again, Happy investing!

Source:

  • Forex Tutorial: Fundamental Analysis & Fundamentals Trading Strategies. Retrieved April 14, 2013. http://www.investopedia.com/university/forexmarket/forex6.asp

FOREX TRADING FOR BEGINNERS:

  1. Introduction to Forex Market
  2. History Of Forex Market
  3. Common Used Forex Terms
  4. Risk And Benefits
  5. Fundamental Analysis & Forex Trading Strategies

Forex Trading For Beginners – Risk And Benefits #4

In every investment, there is always a risk involved. In this article, we will take a look at some of the risks associated with the Forex market as well as the benefits it has to offer. Also, we will differentiate the Forex market from the Equity Market so that we will fully understand how Forex works in order to learn to trade Forex.

Read more about Forex Trading Strategy: Price Action Trading Patterns

We have already discussed some of the important factors (size, volatility, structure among other things) about the Forex market, that contributed to its successful and growing state. In terms of liquidity, the Forex market is highly liquid in nature where in a trader could invest huge amounts of money without affecting any given exchange rate. This is made possible by the low margin being required by most Forex brokers. For example, it is possible for a trader to invest US $1,000 for a position of US $100,000, a 100:1 leverage. This amount of leverage acts as a double-edged sword because investors could either rip large gains or run the risk of a massive loss when movements aren’t favorable. Because of the leverage that the Forex market could offer, it attracts many speculators in the midst of many foreign exchange risks.

Read more about Forex Trading Strategy Made Very Simple – Price Action

Not only that the Forex market is highly liquid but also it is mostly open 24 hours a day, which is favorable for traders who have a tight schedule. In the chart below shows the major trading hubs and their trading hours.

Time Zone Time (ET)
Tokyo Open 7:00 pm
Tokyo Close 4:00 am
London Open 3:00 am
London Close 12:00 pm
New York Open 8:00 am
New York Close 5:00 pm

With the high leverage of the Forex market, it poses a higher risk in comparison to trading equities. It is important to understand that because of the large amount of money involved and some of the impulsive moves made by traders, it will lead to a sharp change in the price of a currency pair. Though currencies don’t tend to move as sharply as equities on a percentage basis, it is the leverage that creates the volatility. For example, in a 100:1 leverage, if you put US $100,000 into a currency and the currency’s price moves 1$ against you, the value of the capital will have decreased to US $99,000, which means a loss of US $1,000 (a 100% loss). On the other hand, in the equity market, there is no leverage being used most of the time, so if there is a 1% loss in stock’s value on a US $1,000 investment, it will only give you a US $10 loss.

Read more about Forex Trading Strategy – Buy The Rumor Sell The Fact In Price Action

To go deeper regarding the difference between the Forex Market and  Equity Market, let’s look at the number of traded instruments. The Forex market has only a few in comparison to the Equity Market. There are only seven different currency pairs and the four major includes: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF. Also, there are three commodity pairs USD/CAD, AUD/USD, and NZD/USD. All other pairs are just different combinations of the same currencies – called cross currencies. It makes it easier to choose and monitor the instruments in the Forex market compared to trading in equity that you have to carefully pick thousands of stocks of the best value.

In trading equity, it is difficult to open and close positions because of the shrinking volumes and activities of the stock. Furthermore, one could make a profit in a declining equity market only while one could make profit both in the rising and declining Forex market. It is a simultaneous buying and selling and even short-selling. In addition, since the Forex market is so liquid, waiting is not required for an uptick (A transaction occurring at a price above the previous transaction) before they can enter into a position as they are required in the equity market. Furthermore, not only that the Forex market offers a low margin, it also has a lesser commission fee compared to in the equity market.

Read more about Forex Trading Strategy – Price Action For Dummies

By now you already have a good grasp of the risk and benefits that a Forex market contains. In the next chapters, we will be tackling about fundamental analysis, trading strategies, technical analysis and technical indicators. Keep on reading about Forex trading strategies and Forex trading for beginners to learn to trade Forex. Understanding Forex Trading is not a quick and easy process but it requires utmost patience and determination to be able to Learn the Market and eventually Learn How to Trade Currencies. With this continuous effort to gather Best Forex Trading Strategies in order to come up with a step by step Forex Course: Learning Forex Trading for Beginner for everyone all for FREE. Once again, keep learning and happy investing!

Source:

  • Forex Tutorial: Foreign Exchange Risk and Benefits. Retrieved April 13, 2013. http://www.investopedia.com/university/forexmarket/forex3.asp

FOREX TRADING FOR BEGINNERS:

  1. Introduction to Forex Market
  2. History Of Forex Market
  3. Common Used Forex Terms
  4. Risk And Benefits